·December 6, 2018
Fletcher School, Tufts University
Forecasting the twists and turns of the economy is difficult. One set of indicators used to gauge where the economy is headed draws on information from financial markets since the yields
paid by financial assets reflect the collective market view of the future state of the economy. An inverted yield ...
·May 14, 2018
Boston University and Dartmouth College
Politicians often take credit
for a rise in the stock market, which is viewed as an indicator of a robust economy. But politics has a much more limited effect
on the overall economy than on particular industries
, or even particular companies
, whose fortunes rise or fall with changes in tax, trade or ...
·February 8, 2018
The volatility in the stock market in the first week of February 2018 stands in stark contrast to unusually low volatility throughout 2017. The past year was the first one ever that the Standard and Poor’s 500-stock index did not experience any decline greater than 3 percent
. The past week, however, ...